Open questions
Where the next trial could move the field.
Every evidence synthesis and every policy page in this registry surfaces questions the existing trials cannot yet answer. This page collects them in one place. 23 open questions across 18 domains. If you can run a pilot — or fund one — that would address any of these, tell us what you'd run.
Jump to domain
- Administrative Process (1)
- Basic Income (1)
- Benefits Enrollment (1)
- Cash Transfers (1)
- Early Childhood (1)
- Education (1)
- Energy & Environment (1)
- Financial Services (1)
- Housing (1)
- International Development (1)
- Libraries (1)
- Public Health (1)
- Public Safety (1)
- SMS reminders in public-sector programs (3)
- Tax & Revenue (2)
- Transportation (1)
- Voter Engagement (1)
- guaranteed and basic income pilots (3)
Administrative Process · 1 open question
- Q01
Which administrative-process simplifications are net-positive, and which strip out steps that were quietly providing legitimate safeguards or eligibility checks?
Policy area: Administrative ProcessSubmit a pilot for this →
Basic Income · 1 open question
- Q01
What is the long-run effect of guaranteed-income programs once transfers end — do gains persist, decay, or accelerate after participants exit?
Policy area: Basic IncomeSubmit a pilot for this →
Benefits Enrollment · 1 open question
- Q01
Can short, high-frequency interventions (text messages, app notifications) substitute for or complement intensive case management — especially in benefits enrollment and reentry?
Policy area: Benefits EnrollmentSubmit a pilot for this →
Cash Transfers · 1 open question
- Q01
When do conditional cash transfers in LMICs outperform unconditional ones, and is the difference worth the administrative cost of monitoring conditions?
Policy area: Cash TransfersSubmit a pilot for this →
Early Childhood · 1 open question
- Q01
Do early-childhood program effects scale beyond model programs (Perry, Abecedarian) when delivered at policy-relevant scale by typical staff?
Policy area: Early ChildhoodSubmit a pilot for this →
Education · 1 open question
- Q01
Which school-finance reforms — equalization, weighted student funding, supplemental capital aid — actually translate into measured student outcomes, given the long causal chain from dollars to learning?
Policy area: EducationSubmit a pilot for this →
Energy & Environment · 1 open question
- Q01
Do energy-conservation feedback programs sustain their 2% effect at 5 and 10 years, or does the novelty wear off?
Policy area: Energy & EnvironmentSubmit a pilot for this →
Financial Services · 1 open question
- Q01
What is the right cost-benefit threshold for adopting financial-literacy programs given the consistently small (or null) effects in rigorous trials? Are there subgroups where effects are meaningfully larger?
Policy area: Financial ServicesSubmit a pilot for this →
Housing · 1 open question
- Q01
Does targeted housing-first work as well for first-time homeless episodes as it does for chronic homelessness, or is rapid rehousing the better match for shorter durations?
Policy area: HousingSubmit a pilot for this →
International Development · 1 open question
- Q01
Which behavioral interventions transfer cleanly from high-income to low- and middle-income contexts, and which depend on infrastructure (smartphones, banking, formal addresses) that limits transferability?
Policy area: International DevelopmentSubmit a pilot for this →
Libraries · 1 open question
- Q01
Do public-library experiments — programming changes, fine elimination, outreach — generalize across library systems, or do they depend heavily on staff capacity and community context?
Policy area: LibrariesSubmit a pilot for this →
Public Health · 1 open question
- Q01
What is the marginal effect of additional reminders past the third? Most reminder trials measure 1–3 messages; the diminishing-returns curve is not well characterized.
Policy area: Public HealthSubmit a pilot for this →
Public Safety · 1 open question
- Q01
Do focused-deterrence violence-reduction programs (like Boston's Operation Ceasefire) sustain their effects after the initial intensive phase ends, or do shootings rebound?
Policy area: Public SafetySubmit a pilot for this →
SMS reminders in public-sector programs · 3 open questions
- Q01
When does personalization (using the recipient's name, condition, or balance) materially improve over a generic reminder?
- Q02
How long does the effect persist — do recipients habituate after the third message?
- Q03
Which populations respond more weakly, and is the gap explained by phone access, language, or trust?
Tax & Revenue · 2 open questions
- Q01
Does the social-norm effect in tax compliance work for high-income taxpayers and corporations, or primarily for small businesses and individuals?
Policy area: Tax & RevenueSubmit a pilot for this → - Q02
Can pre-populated tax returns ('return-free filing') increase compliance and reduce burden in the US? The evidence from OECD countries that have adopted it is promising but not experimental.
Policy area: Tax & RevenueSubmit a pilot for this →
Transportation · 1 open question
- Q01
Which transportation-pricing interventions (congestion charges, transit subsidies, EV incentives) produce durable mode shifts versus short-term substitutions that reverse once novelty fades?
Policy area: TransportationSubmit a pilot for this →
Voter Engagement · 1 open question
- Q01
How durable are voter-mobilization effects from canvassing and SMS interventions across multiple election cycles? Most trials measure a single election.
Policy area: Voter EngagementSubmit a pilot for this →
guaranteed and basic income pilots · 3 open questions
- Q01
Do the wellbeing effects sustain after transfers end, or do they fade?
Evidence synthesis: What we know about guaranteed and basic income pilotsSubmit a pilot for this → - Q02
How do effects differ in tight labor markets versus slack ones?
Evidence synthesis: What we know about guaranteed and basic income pilotsSubmit a pilot for this → - Q03
What is the right comparison — to status-quo benefits, to in-kind aid, or to nothing?
Evidence synthesis: What we know about guaranteed and basic income pilotsSubmit a pilot for this →