Public HealthPrice signalMixed

RAND Health Insurance Experiment

RAND Corporation · United States (6 sites) · 1974

Summary

The RAND HIE is the most important health insurance experiment ever conducted. The core finding—that free care increases use by 30% with no average health benefit—was used to justify cost-sharing in public programs. The crucial nuance: for poor patients with chronic conditions, free care substantially improved blood pressure control and vision. The experiment revealed that across-the-board cost-sharing policies harm the most vulnerable patients most. It remains the primary evidence base for debates about insurance design 50 years later.

Research question

"Does cost-sharing (co-payments) reduce health care utilization, and does reduced utilization harm health?"

Methodology

Intervention

Families randomly assigned to health plans with varying cost-sharing: free care vs. 25%, 50%, or 95% co-insurance up to income caps

Assignment

Randomized controlled trial (family)

Sample size

3,958 non-elderly families, followed 3–5 years

Primary outcome

Health care utilization; health outcomes; financial burden

Effect estimate

Free care group used 30% more services than 95% co-insurance group; no significant health outcome differences for average participants; poor and sick patients on free care had meaningfully better blood pressure and vision outcomes

Decision

Findings shaped Medicare and Medicaid cost-sharing design for decades; evidence used in both directions: cost-sharing advocates cited reduced utilization; universal coverage advocates cited harm to poor/sick patients

Result

Mixed

Free care group used 30% more services than 95% co-insurance group; no significant health outcome differences for average participants; poor and sick patients on free care had meaningfully better blood pressure and vision outcomes

Evidence strength

Moderate

Randomized trial; replication status unknown or limited.

Replication status

N/A

Institution

RAND Corporation

Location

United States (6 sites)

Year

1974

Policy area

Public Health

Mechanism

Price signal

More from these institutions

Other trials of this mechanism

Cite this entry

RAND Corporation. (1974). RAND Health Insurance Experiment. The Experiment Society Registry. Retrieved from https://www.experimentsociety.org/registry/rand-health-insurance-experiment (primary report: https://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R3476.html)